{"id":13704,"date":"2023-11-22T12:48:16","date_gmt":"2023-11-22T11:48:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/talk.nordea.se\/privatebanking\/?p=13704"},"modified":"2023-12-19T09:05:20","modified_gmt":"2023-12-19T08:05:20","slug":"rom-foll-kan-vastvarlden-gora-detsamma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/talk.nordea.se\/privatebanking\/rom-foll-kan-vastvarlden-gora-detsamma\/","title":{"rendered":"Rom f\u00f6ll \u2013 kan v\u00e4stv\u00e4rlden g\u00f6ra detsamma?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Knappt hade vi h\u00e4mtat oss fr\u00e5n covidpandemin f\u00f6rr\u00e4n kriget i Ukraina br\u00f6t ut som sedan har f\u00f6ljts av stridigheterna i Gaza. Dessutom p\u00e5g\u00e5r nu flera andra sv\u00e5ra konflikter i v\u00e4rlden. Inflationssp\u00f6ket v\u00e4grar f\u00f6rsvinna, nationer tampas med massinvandring och l\u00e5ga f\u00f6delsetal och mycket tyder p\u00e5 att en kalla kriget-liknande situation h\u00e5ller oss i sitt grepp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det dystra v\u00e4rldsl\u00e4get har resulterat i en v\u00e5g av b\u00f6cker som f\u00f6rutsp\u00e5r demokratins d\u00f6d, framv\u00e4xten av auktorit\u00e4ra ledare och en maktkamp mellan v\u00e4rldens etablerade nationer och uppstickare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

\n \"Bokomslag\n

<\/h3>\n

Peter Heather och John Rapleys bok om romarrikets fall har blivit en snackis.<\/p>\n <\/figure>\n\n\n\n

I full g\u00e5ng<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det \u00e4r i det sammanhanget Why Empires Fall<\/em> ska l\u00e4sas. Boken j\u00e4mf\u00f6r v\u00e4stv\u00e4rlden 1999 med romarriket \u00e5r 399 \u2013 b\u00e5da civilisationer i full sving och med gott kollektivt sj\u00e4lvf\u00f6rtroende.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6rfattarna, historikern Peter Heather och den politiska ekonomen John Rapley, fr\u00e5ng\u00e5r den sedan l\u00e4nge vedertagna f\u00f6rklaringen att romarriket f\u00f6ll gradvis under l\u00e5ng tid. Tv\u00e4rtom, h\u00e4vdar de, vid sekelskiftet \u00e5r 400 stod romarriket stadig, mycket tack vare starka bef\u00e4lhavare och snillrika \u00f6verenskommelser med potentiella fiender.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men redan ett decennium senare hade de romerska styrkorna dragit sig tillbaka fr\u00e5n dagens Storbritannien (v\u00e4rldens f\u00f6rsta Brexit, enligt skribenterna) och mindre \u00e4n ett sekel d\u00e4refter avsattes den siste kejsaren som regerade fr\u00e5n Italien, den unge Romulus Augustus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sv\u00e5rbek\u00e4mpade folkslag<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00e5 vad h\u00e4nde? Heather och Rapley pekar p\u00e5 internt s\u00f6nderfall i kombination med \u201dnya\u201d uppstickarmakter i imperiets utkanter som blev allt sv\u00e5rare att bek\u00e4mpa. Bland dessa fanns goter, hunner och vandaler. \u00d6stromerska riket, med Konstantinopel som huvudstad, existerade l\u00e4ngre \u00e4nda till mitten av 1400-talet, men f\u00f6rsvagades st\u00e4ndigt av krig mot bland andra perserna och ottomanerna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Dystopiska
Inflation, massinvandring, l\u00e5g produktivitet \u2013 och konkurrerande folk som g\u00e4rna tar \u00f6ver v\u00e4rldsherrav\u00e4ltet. Dagens v\u00e4st tampas med problem liknande de som Romarrriket hade f\u00f6r 1600 \u00e5r sedan, menar f\u00f6rfattaren av Why Empires Fall<\/em>. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Kan dagens v\u00e4stv\u00e4rld g\u00e5 samma \u00f6de till m\u00f6tes? Inte om\u00f6jligt, menar f\u00f6rfattarna och pekar p\u00e5 skuldberg, populism, v\u00e4lf\u00e4rdsutmaningar, integrationsproblem och l\u00e5g produktivitet \u2014 faktorer som g\u00f6r dagens v\u00e4st s\u00e5rbart och mycket likt romarriket f\u00f6r 1 600 \u00e5r sedan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kina \u00e4r redan en avsev\u00e4rd utmaning, b\u00e5de ekonomiskt och milit\u00e4rt. Att Ryssland under en l\u00e4ngre tid utm\u00e5lat v\u00e4stv\u00e4rlden som \u201domoralisk\u201d och g\u00e4rna skulle se en ny v\u00e4rldsordning \u00e4r ingen hemlighet. Dessutom lurar l\u00e4nder som Indien och Brasilien i vassen. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det som \u00e4nd\u00e5 talar emot att v\u00e4st faller likt v\u00e4stromerska riket stavas milit\u00e4r makt. S\u00e5 l\u00e4nge USA och dess allierade forts\u00e4tter att vara v\u00e4rldens enda milit\u00e4ra supermakt \u00e4r det en garant f\u00f6r framtiden. Samtidigt varar inget f\u00f6r evigt, och Donald Trump har ju mer \u00e4n en g\u00e5ng slagit fast att om han f\u00e5r best\u00e4mma \u2013 vilket han kanske f\u00e5r n\u00e4sta h\u00f6st \u2013 m\u00e5ste Europa ta ett tydligare ansvar f\u00f6r sin s\u00e4kerhet. Detta i en tid n\u00e4r Kina har b\u00f6rjat bygga ut sin k\u00e4rnvapenarsenal och allt fler l\u00e4nder \u00e4gnar sig \u00e5t vapenskrammel med \u00f6kande f\u00f6rsvarsutgifter.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hur ofta t\u00e4nker du p\u00e5 romarriket? Fr\u00e5gan snurrade under h\u00f6sten i tidningar och sociala medier. Svaret \u00e4r kanske oftare \u00e4n vi tror. En av \u00e5rets mest uppm\u00e4rksammade historiska...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":13706,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[35],"class_list":["post-13704","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kultur","tag-kultur"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nRom f\u00f6ll \u2013 kan v\u00e4stv\u00e4rlden g\u00f6ra detsamma? - Talk with Nordea Private Banking<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/talk.nordea.se\/privatebanking\/rom-foll-kan-vastvarlden-gora-detsamma\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Rom f\u00f6ll \u2013 kan v\u00e4stv\u00e4rlden g\u00f6ra detsamma? - Talk with Nordea Private Banking\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Hur ofta t\u00e4nker du p\u00e5 romarriket? 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